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BooksRisk Assessment and Decision Making in Business and Industry - A Practical Guide Author: Glenn Koller Publisher: CRC Press ISBN: 0-8493-0268-4
Editorial Comments: This book is an easy-to-understand resource for risk/uncertainty assessment and decision making of all types. The volume begins with a simple explanation of the process of risk assessment and expands to such topics as communication, building consensus, risk assessment technologies, and Monte Carlo analysis. The author, who has responsibilities for risk management, analysis and training at BP Amoco, emphasizes that the technical aspects of risk assessment and decision-making effort are secondary to the cultural, organizational, and interpersonal facets of establishing a framework.
Areas examined include brokerage-house portfolio management, legal decision-making, construction, oil/gas exploration, environmental assessments, engineering, marketing, government, manufacturing, and others. The entire volume is presented as a narrative, keeping statistical jargon to a minimum and explaining all concepts, techniques, and processes in a straightforward manner. The book enables readers who are not risk experts to effect an easy execution of the risk/uncertainty model building effort. Risk Modeling for Determining Value and Decision Making Author: Glenn Koller Published: Chapman & Hall / CRC ISBN: 1-58488-167-4
Editorial Comments: Also by Glenn Koller, this text presents comprehensive examples of risk/uncertainty analyses from a broad range of applications, including decision/option selection, environmental assessments, identification of business drivers, insurance, investing, production sharing, manufacturing, pricing, schedule and optimization, security, law, and other applications.
Emphasizing value as the focus of risk assessment, this book offers discussions on how to make decisions using risk models and the insights that such models can provide. The presentation of each model also includes computer code that encapsulates its logic and offers direction on how to apply the model to other types of problems. The last few chapters discuss the fundamentals of risk assessment similar to the previously described book. Simulation Modeling Using @ Risk Author: Wayne L. Winston Quantitative Risk Analysis: A Guide to Monte Carlo Simulation and Modeling Author: David Vose 6 uses spreadsheets quite a bit, and from then on he uses Excel models to demonstrate techniques and examples in most of the remaining 6 chapters. Decisions Involving Uncertainty: An @RISK Tutorial for the Petroleum Industry Author: James Murtha Selected Readings"Design and use of the Microsoft Excel Solver" Author(s): Fylstra, D., L. Lasdon, J. Watson, A. Waren Publisher: Interfaces, vol. 28 no. 5 (Sep-Oct 1998), pp 29-55.
Editorial Comments: Description of the Excel Solver including: user interface, model processing, and solution algorithms for linear, nonlinear, and integer programs. Describes some of the common pitfalls users encounter and remedies available in the latest version of Microsoft Excel. Discusses the differences between management science using spreadsheets vis a vis traditional software. "Spreadsheet Add-Ins for OR/MS" Author: Thomas A. Grossman Publisher: OR/MS Today, 29(4): 46-51, August 2002.
Author Comments: A summary of available OR/MS add-ins. Tables listing the add-ins available at: http://www.lionhrtpub.com/orms/surveys/SSA/SSA.html. Sources for Books
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